Canada

Explore Fertility Trends demographic drivers & policy developments across countries worldwide.

Region

North America

Current Population

41.41 million

Current TFR

1.25

Population in 3 Generations

16.17 million

Key Statistics

41.41 million

Population

2024

Data Year

2.1

Replacement Level TFR

1.25

Country TFR

0.85

TFR Difference

Country Information
Future Population Assuming Business As Usual

Current
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

41.41 million

Next
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

25.88 million

Grandchildren’s
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

16.17 million

Great Grandchildren’s
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

10.11 million

Based on Canada’s trend in recent decades, the population projection would only become worse than described without a reversal.
TFR Trend Over Recent Decades
Start Year 2000
End Year 2024
Start TFR 1.51
End TFR 1.25
Change -0.26
Source Statistics Canada / World Bank
Note Illustrates Canada’s projected generational population decline based on current low fertility rates, excluding net migration.
Canada’s Total Fertility Rate is currently 0.85 births per woman below the replacement level of 2.10. If this trend persists over the long term, it is expected to contribute to population ageing and slower natural population growth.
Understanding These Projections

The demographic projections presented on this page provide one illustration of the long-term effects of sustained fertility rates below replacement level. The calculations assume that Canada’s Total Fertility Rate remains broadly stable over future generations while excluding the effects of migration, major economic shocks, healthcare breakthroughs, or substantial government policy changes.

Key Insights
Population Density

Population Density

5 people/km²

2024 estimate

Urban Population

Urban Population

82.7%

Lives in urban areas — 2024

Median Age

Median Age

40.3 Years

2024 estimate

Life Expectancy

Life Expectancy

82 Years

2024 estimate