Italy

Explore Fertility Trends demographic drivers & policy developments across countries worldwide.

Region

Europe

Current Population

58.9 million

Current TFR

1.14

Population in 3 Generations

19.13 million

View TFR Graph
Key Statistics

58.9 million

Population

2024

Data Year

2.1

Replacement Level TFR

1.14

Country TFR

0.96

TFR Difference

Country Information
  • Country:
  • Italy
  • Region:
  • Europe
Future Population Assuming Business As Usual

Current
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

58.9 million

Next
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

33.57 million

Grandchildren’s
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

19.13 million

Great Grandchildren’s
Generation

Percentage

0%

Population

10.9 million

Based on Italy’s current demographic trends and the UN medium projection scenario, the population is expected to decline substantially over the coming generations without a significant reversal in fertility rates or other demographic factors.
TFR Trend Over Recent Decades
Start Year 2000
End Year 2024
Start TFR 1.26
End TFR 1.18
Change -0.08
Source World Bank / United Nations Population Division
Note 100 → 57 → 32.5 → 18.5. Three generations out: 18.5% of today’s size.
Italy’s fertility rate is 0.96 births per woman below the replacement level of 2.1.
Understanding These Projections

The demographic projections presented on this page provide one illustration of the long-term effects of sustained fertility rates below replacement level. The calculations assume that Italy’s Total Fertility Rate remains broadly stable over future generations while excluding the effects of migration, major economic shocks, healthcare breakthroughs, or substantial government policy changes.

Key Insights
Population Density

Population Density

196 people/km²

2024 estimate

Urban Population

Urban Population

69.6%

Lives in urban areas — 2024

Median Age

Median Age

47.8 years

2024 estimate

Life Expectancy

Life Expectancy

84.0 years

2024 estimate